Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.223352 11.792581 13.477441 15.415735 17.578561 19.912206 22.614980
2025-08-17 7.784810 9.829533 12.185639 15.081229 18.522612 22.459912 27.281876
2025-08-24 6.306016 8.545531 11.270413 14.789619 19.170246 24.397341 31.055198
2025-08-31 5.169205 7.459524 10.382658 14.322725 19.422754 25.724469 34.012956
2025-09-07 4.504517 6.867373 10.010247 14.403058 20.277963 27.748953 37.835392
2025-09-14 3.949079 6.339169 9.642655 14.415881 20.990585 29.568634 41.419574
2025-09-21 3.538154 5.957311 9.420774 14.577763 21.870618 31.603604 45.323958
2025-09-28 3.144588 5.549028 9.111472 14.571224 22.487839 33.280754 48.783978
2025-10-05 2.907878 5.350924 9.082103 14.946709 23.636485 35.701868 53.312408
2025-10-12 2.671264 5.123336 8.981368 15.195619 24.596835 37.879005 57.561048
2025-10-19 2.426198 4.852127 8.784508 15.274068 25.294163 39.692535 61.343234
2025-10-26 2.114510 4.429101 8.305663 14.873606 25.239326 40.405468 63.566547
2025-11-02 1.855920 4.072872 7.908953 14.579021 25.333377 41.345258 66.164663
2025-11-09 1.624723 3.738219 7.517185 14.259470 25.361400 42.174933 68.616012
2025-11-16 1.428728 3.445261 7.168951 13.981059 25.427375 43.046902 71.137754
2025-11-23 1.233309 3.126560 6.743516 13.535394 25.188846 43.428909 72.917732
2025-11-30 1.128859 2.982969 6.625495 13.612066 25.803178 45.141046 76.753636
2025-12-07 1.027270 2.831908 6.478884 13.624306 26.303114 46.681379 80.360241
2025-12-14 0.951608 2.728702 6.414888 13.778821 27.045289 48.622952 84.634956
2025-12-21 0.866323 2.591450 6.270571 13.772580 27.504424 50.117035 88.241304
2025-12-28 0.824075 2.551680 6.319875 14.131033 28.611266 52.691505 93.617113
2026-01-04 0.773783 2.485281 6.307728 14.368692 29.509996 54.946152 98.534481
2026-01-11 0.713706 2.385495 6.215878 14.443601 30.116075 56.728653 102.731620